Week Six: 10 winners
Last week was another solid week for our panel with a combined 27-3 record. I’m currently in the lead for the year with at 35-5. Andrew Robertson and Thomas Duggins are tied at 32-8.
Georgia (-10.5) at Tennessee
Andrew: If there was ever a situation for a highly ranked team to have a letdown game, this would be it for Georgia. They are coming off an emotional and physical win over LSU, they have to go on the road at a venue they have struggled in traditionally, and Tennessee is bound to be pumped up as they don the Smokey Gray uniforms for the first time. Expect the Vols to ride that emotion for about a half, but Georgia’s superior talent will make pulling off the upset darn near impossible. Winner: Georgia
Thomas: This series is traditionally unpredictable. However, the Bulldogs’ experience in their prime time games plus their explosive offense should be enough to cover the spread in this game. Georgia’s defense has holes, but the Vols’ offense has not shown the consistency to put up the amount of points that will be required to beat the Dawgs. Winner: Georgia
Reed: This series is hard to predict historically, but this isn’t your typical Georgia team. A solid argument can be made for Georgia as the best team in the SEC. They’re battle-tested after following up a close loss at Clemson with two big wins over South Carolina and LSU. The Bulldogs are simply a tough matchup for the Vols. Georgia’s pass defense has been terrible (ranked 99th nationally), but the 112th-ranked Vol passing attack hasn’t shown the ability to exploit Georgia’s weakness. The Vols will likely need to run for close to 300 yards to win this one, and that’ll be tough with a banged up running back corps that will have to run into the teeth of a strong Georgia run defense (ranked 39th nationally). Winner: Georgia
Missouri at Vanderbilt (PK)
Andrew: Is there ever a more misleading statement than “Alabama and Missouri are the only teams still unbeaten in the SEC”? Put an asterisk by that 4-0 record for the Tigers. Vandy is 3-2, but they have already played 2 conference games. The Commodores aren’t that strong, but the fact they are at home and have already been in tough games pushes them over the top in what is a big game for both schools. Winner: Vanderbilt
Thomas: This game will be close, but I feel that the Tigers are more explosive on offense than Vandy. Vandy doesn’t have a home field advantage and their offense is entirely one-dimensional. The player James Franklin schools his coaching counterpart. Winner: Missouri
Reed: This is a tough one, but Missouri simply has too much offense to lose to Vanderbilt. James Franklin the QB is dynamic and explosive when healthy and Vandy hasn’t shown the ability to stop a dual-threat QB up to this point. Winner: Missouri
Arkansas at Florida (-11.5)
Andrew: Side note before I break down the game: If you haven’t seen the video of Bret Bielema falling on the pre-game walk to the stadium last week, I highly recommend you watch it. It will make your day. As for this game, all the makings are there for an upset. Florida is not a very good football team, and the Hogs should be confident after playing the Aggies tough a week ago. (which I didn’t think they would do) This is where the Gators lack of offensive production bites them in their hind parts against an inferior opponent. Winner: Arkansas
Thomas: Arkansas’ running game is strong, but the Gators D is stronger. As long as Tyler Murphy takes care of the football the Gators should win. Also, the Swamp is a definite home field advantage for a Florida team taking on an Arkansas team short on experience. Winner: Florida
Reed: Arkansas is clearly heading in the right direction under Big Ten Brett and their ground game is good enough to give Florida’s dominant defense some trouble, but it won’t be enough for Arkansas to win on the road this weekend. Winner: Florida
Kentucky at South Carolina (-21)
Andrew: The Gamecocks got all they wanted in Orlando last week, and got Connor Shaw banged up in the process. It looks like Shaw will play, but it’s doubtful he will be 100 percent. The good news for Carolina is he doesn’t have to be. The Gamecocks could probably win this game without ever throwing a pass. Spurrier doesn’t even have to wait until after the game to start drinking this week. Winner: South Carolina
Thomas: The Visor racks up his second SEC victory. The OBC could coach this game after drinking a couple and still guide the fighting chickens to victory. Winner: South Carolina
Reed: I agree with Thomas and Andrew: Spurrier could coach this game toasted and still pick up the “W.” Winner: South Carolina
Washington at Stanford (-7.5)
Andrew: Watching Washington’s game against Arizona last week, it’s easy to see why Steve Sarkisian would be on USC’s short list of potential hires. He has built the Huskies from nothing into a legitimately solid program. They are extremely well coached, like to run the ball, and play tough defense. Looking at the other sideline this Saturday will be like looking in the mirror, as Stanford has many of those same qualities. The bad news for Washington in this game, everything that they do well, Stanford does it better. I remember when I doubted David Shaw could sustain the success that Harbaugh had with the Cardinal. That was very foolish on my part. Winner: Stanford
Thomas: The Huskies are vastly improved this year with a strong defense and balanced offense. However, Stanford is an established west coast power and I don’t think the huskies will move the ball enough against a strong Cardinal defense. Winner: Stanford
Reed: I like Washington. They boast the nation’s No. 4 offense and No. 14 defense and are primed to upset Oregon next week. But they’re not going to knock off Stanford. Winner: Stanford
Minnesota at Michigan (-18.5)
Andrew: The Gophers came back to reality last week after starting 4-0 against weak competition. Expect them to get another dose of reality this week against the Wolverines. Michigan hasn’t exactly been impressive themselves so far, but they are 4-0 and will get to 5-0 this week with relative ease. Winner: Michigan
Thomas: The Akron game gives me pause, but Michigan is the more talented team. Plus it’s at the Big House. Minnesota looks improved, but give me the maize and blue. Winner: Michigan
Reed: The Wolverines are undefeated at home under Brady Hoke and that’s not changing this week against Minnesota. Winner: Michigan
Ohio State (-6.5) at Northwestern
Andrew: For all the apologists of the Buckeyes soft schedule, consider this stat: the Northwestern Wildcats are the highest ranked team (16) that Ohio St. has played since Urban Meyer has been the coach. It’s looking more and more like OSU will not only need to run the table, but also do it convincingly to get a shot at the National Title. That kind of pressure can take a toll on a team, and I think it will do that to the Buckeyes at some point. Evanston will be rocking Saturday night, but I’ve got a suspicion there will be about as much red in the stadium as there will be purple. In the end, the Buckeyes survive a close one with a scrappy Northwestern team. Winner: Ohio St.
Thomas: Northwestern’s Pat Fitzgerald officially becomes the hottest coaching candidate in the country with a win this weekend. OSU looked unimpressive against Wisconsin last week. Plus this would put an end to all OSU national championship hopes, something I think we all can rally behind. Winner: Northwestern
Reed: Ohio State didn’t look great in a win over Wisconsin last week, but make no mistake, they’re much more talented than Northwestern. The Wildcats have lost 28 out of their last 29 games to Ohio State and this will be one of the most talented OSU teams they’ve every faced. Everything points to a Buckeye win, but I picked Northwestern to win this game back in the spring and am sticking to my guns here. Winner: Northwestern
Maryland at Florida State (-16)
Andrew: Pat yourself on the back if you thought in the preseason this game would be a matchup of Top 25 teams. Maryland’s 37-0 win over West Virginia was a statement to the rest of the ACC that the Terrapins aren’t the same team from the past couple of years. The Seminoles got a bit of a scare at Boston College last week after a dismal first half, but still won by a couple touchdowns without ever playing their best football. If they do that this week, Maryland could spring the upset. Don’t expect it to happen, though. Look for FSU’s game with BC last week to serve as a wakeup call as they look way sharper this week. Winner: Florida St.
Thomas: Noles Famous Jameis does it again. Randy Edsall finally has the Terps going in the right direction, but they don’t have the talent or depth to compete with a top flight program like FSU yet. I think the Terps will hang for a half and then FSU pulls away in front of the home crowd at Doak Campbell Stadium. Winner: Florida St.
Reed: Don’t sleep on Maryland in this one. They have the nation’s No. 6 defense and should be able to slow Florida State’s No. 10 offense. I think the Terrapins will cover, but Jameis and the Seminoles won’t lose this one at home. Winner: Florida State
Ole Miss (-2.5) at Auburn
Andrew: If the Rebels had an inflated ego, Alabama made sure to deflate it for them last week. How will this young team respond to being totally dominated? I’m not sure. Auburn, on the other hand, had the week off last week to recover from the beating they took at LSU. At this point in the season, these 2 teams look pretty even to me. In a matchup of 2 even teams where one got shutout the week before, while the other is playing at home coming out of a bye week, I’m always going to go with the latter. Winner: Auburn
Thomas: Ole miss takes a trip to Alabama for the second straight week, but this time they will emerge victorious. Auburn will be a tough test especially at Jordan-Hare Stadium, but the Rebels are just a bit better on both sides of the ball. Winner: Ole Miss
Reed: This is another tough one. Auburn is a popular pick nationally, but the Rebels should bounce back after a loss to Alabama last weekend. Auburn is a much improved team under Malzahn and will give the Rebels a fight. This boils down to one thing: I don’t see Hugh Freeze’s team losing two in a row. Winner: Ole Miss
Arizona State (-5.5) vs. Notre Dame
Andrew: Not only did Arizona St. handily defeat USC last week, but they also sent Lane Kiffin to the unemployment line in the process. I’d say that’s a productive week for the Sun Devils. Now they have a chance to beat Notre Dame as an encore. That would be a program-defining couple of weeks for Todd Graham’s team. Notre Dame got beat up on by Oklahoma last week, and now have to travel down to Arlington for this neutral site game against a hungry and talented team. I’ve said it already, but it bears repeating: Notre Dame isn’t a very good football team. If they’re not careful, ASU could turn this game into a shootout, and Notre Dame doesn’t have many weapons that are firing at the moment. Winner: Arizona St.
Thomas: I have a hard time believing the Irish drop two in a row, but the Sun Devils looked explosive last week in getting Lane Kiffin fired. I’ll take them also based on the relative strength of the PAC 12. Winner: Arizona St.
Reed: Notre Dame’s offense has been miserable this year and they simply don’t have the weapons to outscore an Arizona State team that puts up over 500 yards per game. Winner: Arizona St.