Picks Panel: 10 Week Nine Winners
Last week was a brutal week for favorites around the nation, but especially in the SEC. For the 10 games we selected, Vegas went 4-6. Andrew won last week at a Vegas-matching 4-6, while Thomas and I were both 3-7. It was by far the worst weekend for both oddsmakers and our panel. To date Vegas, with millions paid to researchers and oddsmakers, is 46-14 this year for the game we have picked. I’m one game back at 45-15. Andrew is 42-17 while Thomas is a close third at 42-18. As we saw last week, things can change quickly and no lead is safe. In fact, I missed on seven games last week, one less than the eight I missed the previous FIVE weeks. Here are this week’s winners.
Tennessee at Alabama (-28)
Andrew: The Vols finally got the much-awaited win over a ranked opponent last week, and come into this game with some momentum. Meanwhile, the Tide has been destroying everyone in their path of late, and look to be cruising towards Pasadena in early January. Can Tennessee redirect Alabama’s path in this huge rivalry game for BOTH schools? Probably not, but don’t expect to see the Orange team to lay down to the Tide. Alabama will win comfortably, but they will find out this UT team is much different from the team they played the last 3 years. WINNER: Alabama
Thomas: The Vols are riding high off their first win over a ranked team since 2009. As awesome as that was, their trip to Tuscaloosa is as tough as any game in America. The Tide have been the best program in college football for more than two years now. Tennessee’s hopes in pulling this game out rest on whether Justin Worley and the offense can avoid the slow starts that have plagued them this season. As tough as this game will be for Tennessee, I do feel good about their chances to beat the point spread. As good as Alabama’s defense is, I think the Vols manage to score 14+ points, which would be improvement over the last 3 years. Winner: Alabama
Reed: Vol fans don’t want to hear it, but this Alabama team is very, very good. They’re giving up under 10 points per game and just 4.3 points per game to teams who don’t have Johnny Football at quarterback. The Vols are in for a huge challenge this weekend, but if we’ve learned anything the past few weeks, it’s that this team believes it can not only play with anyone, but beat anyone. It’s been 10 years since the Vols last won in Tuscaloosa. Though I don’t think that streak ends this weekend, Tennessee won’t go down without a fight. Winner. Alabama
UCLA at Oregon (-23)
Andrew: Only the Ducks could be a 3+TD favorite over a team ranked in the Top 15. I look forward to a good QB matchup between two possible first rounders: Brett Hundley and Marcus Mariota. UCLA is a good team, and regardless of the outcome in this game, they are still in good position to win the PAC 12 South. The Bruins will score some points, but they won’t score nearly enough points. Oregon is just operating at a totally different level. I actually like the Ducks to cover in this one. WINNER: Oregon
Thomas: UCLA is a very good football team. Oregon is an exceptional program. With the game at Autzen, I expect the Ducks to cover the point spread and win this game. It will be fun to watch the quarterbacks in this game as Brett Hundley and Marcus Mariota are two of the most talented QB’s in the nation. There will be plenty of points, but ultimately the Ducks won’t sweat this game too much. Winner: Oregon
Reed: I like UCLA. They should win the Pac-12 South, but they’re not the kind of team that typically gives Oregon trouble—if such a team even exists this year. Winner: Oregon
Penn State at Ohio State (-15)
Andrew: More of the same from the Buckeyes. Another week and another close win against an inferior opponent. If I were ranking teams, the Buckeyes would be nowhere near my Top 5 at this moment. Iowa almost got them napping last week, and I wouldn’t be shocked if the Nittany Lions took them to the wire this week. But, in the end, look for OSU to squeak out the victory in typical Buckeye fashion. WINNER: Ohio St.
Thomas: Penn State is not a bad football team. Ohio State is the class of the Big Ten. The Big Ten sucks though, so who knows if Ohio State’s likely undefeated regular season will really mean anything come time for selecting the National Championship contestants. As for this game, I have the Buckeyes as they are vastly more talented than any other team in the Big Ten. That said, I don’t think the Buckeyes win this game by two touchdowns, even with the game being in the Horseshoe. Winner: Ohio State
Reed: Ohio State is making a habit of struggling with inferior opponents and will likely do so again this week. That’s not a dig at Penn State. The Nittany Lions are a fine, well-coached football team, but Ohio State simply has a ton more talent. I wouldn’t be shocked to see this one go down to the wire, but the Buckeyes should ultimately prevail. Winner: Ohio State
South Carolina at Missouri (-2.5)
Andrew: Okay. I admit it. I have been bullish in willing to admit the Missouri Tigers are a good football team. I still don’t think they’re the 5th best team in the country like their BCS ranking indicates, but they are a good team capable of beating most any other team on a given Saturday. South Carolina has already announced that Dylan Thompson will start for the injured Connor Shaw, so Mizzou gets another scheduling break getting to face yet another team with injury concerns. The story sounds familiar, and likewise, there will be a familiar result. WINNER: Missouri
Thomas: I have been hating on Missouri all year and it is time for that to stop. Mizzou is legitimate on both sides of the ball. South Carolina has the weapons to win this game even with Dylan Thompson manning the QB position, but they have not shown the ability to beat good SEC competition. Mizzou is just a better team right now. Winner: Missouri
Reed: Unlike the previous two gentlemen, I picked Missouri to beat Florida last week, which they did by out gaining the Gators by 349 yards. I firmly believe South Carolina is better than Florida, even with Dylan Thompson at QB, and expect this one to be a close contest. If the Gamecocks had a healthy Connor Shaw I’d be tempted to pick them, but they don’t so I’m predicting the Tigers will be unbeaten when the Vols travel to Missouri next week. Winner: Missouri
Texas Tech at Oklahoma (-6.5)
Andrew: Is there an undefeated team garnering less attention than the Red Raiders? Absolutely not. Mired in anonymity, Kliff Kingsbury and company have handled their business in impressive fashion so far this season. Now, though, the real tests begins. Their win at Morgantown last week was good, but winning in Norman is a much tougher challenge. Oklahoma got back in the win column at Kansas last week after getting spanked by Texas 2 weeks ago. Any chance the Sooners have of winning the Big XII requires them beating Texas Tech on Saturday. Look for them to stay in the conference title chase. WINNER: Oklahoma
Thomas: Big game Bob Stoops dials up another gem, and by that I mean a choke-job in front of his home crowd. Texas Tech has no business beating the Sooners from a talent standpoint, but that is what will happen. Kliff Kingsbury might just be the coolest coach in America. If he continues to keep the Red Raiders winning, it will be inevitable that he’ll be considered for a major job opening this winter. Winner: Red Raiders
Reed: Did you know Texas Tech is undefeated? Well they are and it seems like no one is talking about them. Former Red Raider QB and Johnny Football babysitter Texas A&M OC Kliff Kingsbury has Texas Tech rolling is his first year as a head coach, but the Red Raiders just don’t have the guns to beat Oklahoma if the Sooners play anywhere close to their best ball. That said, you just can’t predict when Bob Stoops’ squad will deliver another clunker but I’m betting it won’t be this week. Winner: Oklahoma
Vanderbilt at Texas A&M (-17)
Andrew: The Aggie faithful can rest easy as it looks like Johnny Football will be playing this Saturday. Vanderbilt, however, will be without their starting quarterback going forward. Maryville native Patton Robinette did look good in relief last week against Georgia, and he should have a fair amount of success against the equally awful A&M defense this week. The Aggie offense is as close to unstoppable as you can get, so does the Vandy offense have the firepower to keep up? Nope. WINNER: Texas A&M
Thomas: Vandy got their statement win of James Franklin’s tenure in their comeback win over UGA last week. I don’t see Johnny Manziel dropping a second game in a row, especially against a team throwing out their backup quarterback. A&M’s defense is awful though and Vandy has some playmakers on offense, so I expect this game to be a closer margin than 17 points. Winner: A&M
Reed: I don’t care who plays QB for either one of these teams, barring a natural disaster I’m simply not picking Vandy to beat a ranked team on the road. Winner: TAMU
Stanford (-3.5) at Oregon State
Andrew: It’s really hard to believe the Oregon St. team that got beat by Eastern Washington on opening weekend is now 6-1 and ranked in the Top 25. Riding the arm of Sean Mannion, the Beavers have been rolling. Stanford got back on track against UCLA last week, and now have to go on the road to Corvallis for another stiff test. The Cardinal has been notorious for slow starts this year, only scoring 3 points in the first half last week. I think that comes back to bite them this week as Mannion puts his name squarely in the middle of the Heisman discussion. WINNER: Oregon St.
Thomas: The Cardinal continue their path to their showdown with Oregon with a win over the Beavers. Mike Riley’s team has been impressive in the passing game behind the play of Sean Mannion, but Stanford is simply too sound in all facets if the game to drop another game versus a lesser opponent. Winner: Stanford
Reed: Oregon State lost to an FCS team to open the season but has rebounded nicely with six straight victories. This is one of the toughest games to pick this week as the Beavers have been shredding opponents through the air and Stanford as been a bit sluggish at times this season. I’m with Thomas, though. Stanford is simply too good and too physical to lose this one. Winner: Stanford
Nebraska (-10.5) at Minnesota
Andrew: Neither of these teams have garnered much national attention, but the winner of this game will have already clinched bowl eligibility. It looks like Taylor Martinez will return for Nebraska this week after sitting out the last couple of games. For Minnesota, it’s unclear whether coach Jerry Kill will be making a return to the sidelines this week. The Gophers played well in the upset win over Northwestern last week, but I don’t think they can bring that kind of effort and execution 2 weeks in a row. Nebraska is just the more talented team. WINNER: Nebraska
Thomas: Bo Pelini’s team gets it done. I can’t say I particularly care about this game as the Big Ten bores me, but give me Nebraska and the points. Winner: Huskers
Reed: Never bet on a Bo Pelini team to win on the road. That said, I think the Huskers will pull this one out, but seriously, don’t put money on it. Winner: Nebraska
Clemson (-14) at Maryland
Andrew: Even though I took Florida St. to win over Clemson last week, I have to admit even I was shocked at how pedestrian the Seminoles made the Tigers look. That kind of beating can have a carry-over effect on a team if they don’t forget about it. Maryland is definitely a team that can take advantage of a reeling Clemson team, and with the game being in College Park, it’s certainly a possibility. Like Clemson, Maryland knows all about getting a beat down from the Seminoles. They didn’t respond well, either, getting beat by Wake Forest last week. Look for 2 desperate teams to take the field in this one, with the losing team’s season taking a serious downward turn. Maryland’s injury situation will be too much of a detriment for them to pull the upset in this one, but it should go down to the wire. WINNER: Clemson
Thomas: If you were judging this game based on how each team fared against FSU, you might mistake this as a competitive contest. However, Clemson is still a really good team and Maryland has suffered a horrendous run of injuries in recent weeks. Dabo gets his team back on track. Winner: Clemson
Reed: The Tigers got embarrassed on national TV last week by Jameis Winston and his Seminole cohorts. Tajh Boyd and company will bounce back this week against a Maryland team decimated by injuries. Winner: Clemson
Duke at Virginia Tech (-14)
Andrew: David Cutcliffe just doesn’t get his just due. He has turned Duke into a respectable team and they look to be on track to make a bowl appearance for the second consecutive year. That deserves major recognition. Virginia Tech looked pretty bad in the opener against Alabama, but it was Alabama after all, and the fact is they haven’t lost since. Duke will be game, but the Hokies are on a collision course with Miami in what will be the Coastal Division championship game. Especially with the game being in Blacksburg, they’ll stay the course. WINNER: Virginia Tech
Thomas: As awesome as coach Cutcliffe is, Va Tech takes this game and wins it by more than two touchdowns. Winner: Hokies
Reed: Virginia Tech hasn’t lost since getting slaughtered by Alabama to open the season. Their defense ranks 5th nationally in points allowed (15.0 per game) and has carried them to a 6-1 record. Though their offense is abysmal, the Hokie defense is good enough for them to pick up the “W” over Coach Cutcliffe’s Blue Devils. Winner: Va Tech