Picks Panel: Vols—Tigers plus five weekend winners
Last week Vegas went 5-1 for a yearly total of 58-18. It was a rare week for our panel, we all agreed on every game and all went 4-2…unanimously falling prey to the belief that the Vols would knock off Missouri. I can’t speak for the rest of the panel, but I won’t pick the Vols to win an SEC road game against a non-Vandy/UK opponent until they prove they can do it. For the year, I’m 56-20, Andrew is 53-23 while Thomas is 52-24. On to this week’s games.
Auburn (-7.5) at Tennessee
Andrew: Well. What can I say about the Vols at this point? I thought they would play Alabama tough and cover the large point spread that game had. That didn’t happen. I thought they would go to Missouri and come back home with a victory. Not even close. So now what? They get to come back to the friendly confines of Neyland Stadium, but yet another Top 10 team awaits them. All eyes were on Josh Dobbs last week, and I felt like he played fairly well. He did have his freshman moments, but watching the game and looking at the stat sheet, it was obvious he didn’t play bad. He certainly didn’t get any help from his O-Line or receivers, and if the game is going to be close this week, both of those units will have to improve by leaps and bounds. What was perhaps most alarming about Tennessee’s loss to Missouri last week was the lack of a run defense. Well, Auburn has the top rushing offense in the conference. On top of that, they have a lightning quick ex-secondary player under center. Marshall is inconsistent as a passer, but he may not have to throw much in this one. I’m going with Auburn to win by at least 10 points, but if my recent track record of picking UT games stays consistent, that might mean good things for the Vols on Saturday. WINNER: Auburn
Thomas: The job Gus Malzahn has done in his first year at Auburn is remarkable to say the least. The Tigers boast the SEC’s best rushing attack by a wide margin and their young defense is ever-improving. Tennessee is coming off its worst performance of the year last week against Mizzou. Logic says that the Vols bottom ranked rushing defense spells doom against one of the nation’s best rushing attacks. The Vols have proven tough in Neyland Stadium in their performances against UGA and South Carolina. All of this said, I just don’t see Tennessee winning this game unless their front 7 puts in a performance for the ages, and given this roster’s history that won’t happen. Winner: War Eagle Tigers
Reed: I didn’t expect Tennessee to lay an egg the last two weeks, so I’m not entirely sure what Vol team we’ll see Saturday. Will it be the team that nearly upset then-No. 6 Georgia and knocked off No. 10 South Carolina? Or will it be the team that got destroyed by Alabama and Missouri? The team that played so well against UGA and SC was nowhere to be found the past two games but will have to show up Saturday for the Vols to have a chance. Auburn hasn’t been spectacular on the road, but it’ll take Tennessee’s best game of the year to pick up the win. Josh Dobbs and the Vol offense will have to put up some points to keep it close because I don’t think the Vol defense will be able to slow an Auburn rushing attack which puts up over 300 yards per game. Either way, the Tigers are far too talented for me to pick against them. Winner: Auburn
LSU at Alabama (-12.5)
Andrew: This game, along with the Texas A&M game, were the 2 contests I thought the Tide would have the most trouble with this season. LSU has more offensive talent on their squad this year than they’ve had in quite some time. Their hiccup against Ole Miss has taken them out of the national spotlight somewhat, but this is still a talented and dangerous football team. Bama is #1, and deservedly so, but crazy things always seem to happen in this rivalry. The last time LSU visited Tuscaloosa 2 years ago, even though they were ranked #1, no one gave the Tigers much of a chance in the game. This game has a similar feel to it. I have little doubt this will be a 4 quarter battle between 2 teams that are more evenly matched than most people realize. I’m going with Alabama, but an LSU upset would not surprise me. Not even a little bit. WINNER: Alabama
Thomas: LSU has proven in their trips to Athens and Oxford that they are a completely different team on the road than at home. The tigers boast a lethal aerial attack with Zach Mettenberger, Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham Jr. and Alabama is 1-7 in the last 8 times espn college game day has visited Tuscaloosa. But this Alabama team is as across-the-board talented as any Saban team ever. Bama is just the better team and that will prove to be true on Saturday. Winner: Alabama
Reed: Everyone was too quick to write off Alabama earlier in the year when they won a shootout with Texas A&M. Since then, Bama has given up a sparse 26 points in six games. LSU has a ton of talent on offense and should be able to score enough points to give Alabama a great game in Tuscaloosa. It’s tough to bet against the Tide in this one, but don’t count out the great Les and his ability to pull the upset. Winner: Alabama
UCLA at Arizona (-1.5)
Andrew: With both teams coming in with identical 6-2 records, it’s safe to say this is a PAC 12 South elimination game. This game also features two of the best offensive players in the country: Arizona RB Ka’Deem Carey, who leads the nation in rushing, and UCLA QB Brett Hundley, who might be a high 1st Round NFL Draft pick next year. As is the norm in these late night PAC 12 games, points should be plentiful. While the records are the same, I don’t think anyone would argue that UCLA has played a much tougher schedule to this point. And while the game is being played in Tucson, the Bruins are more battle-tested, and I can’t overlook Arizona’s performance against a bad California team last week. WINNER: UCLA
Thomas: Rich Rod is having a sort of resurgence in Arizona. UCLA will just be too much for the Wildcats though. Look for lots of points, but the Bruins take this game without too much sweating. Winner: UCLA
Reed: The key matchup to watch here is Arizona’s 12th-ranked rushing attack against UCLA’s 73rd-ranked rushing defense. Overall, the Bruins have more talent and should be able to handle an Arizona team which really hasn’t beaten anyone this season. Winner: UCLA
Nebraska at Michigan (-6.5)
Andrew: Lots of people thought this game could be the unofficial “Legends Division Championship Game” in the preseason. Although both teams have been less than impressive, either one could still win the division and get the chance to play Ohio St. for a Big 10 championship. Michigan looked awful against Michigan St. last week, but that game was in East Lansing and that Spartan defense would make almost any offense look bad. The Cornhuskers, meanwhile, needed a last second Hail Mary to beat a less-than-stellar Northwestern team last week, and that game was in Lincoln. Neither one of these teams are very good, but couple the fact that Taylor Martinez is once again not playing with the fact the game is being played in Ann Arbor, and I’m going with the Wolverines. WINNER: Michigan
Thomas: Michigan looked awful against Sparty last week. Nebraska is an ok team. I have the Wolverines rebounding this week with a win over a traditionally powerful (but not currently) program. Winner: Michigan
Reed: This one is easy: Michigan hasn’t lost at home under Brady Hoke and Nebraska isn’t good enough to change that. Winner: Michigan
BYU at Wisconsin (-8)
Andrew: Everything about this BYU team is underrated. Taysom Hill is the best quarterback you’ve probably never heard of. Kyle Van Noy is an All-American at linebacker and will probably be a high draft pick next year. I’m not sure how or why this team lost to Virginia to open the season, but they are a much better team now than they were then. Wisconsin is a good team that has gotten better as the year has gone on, too. Plus, Madison is not a place that is easy to stroll into and get a win. Expect to see a low scoring game with each team relying heavily on the run. coaches Mendenhall and Andersen are very familiar with each other. That’s just another reason that this is destined to be a close game. I like the Cougars in the upset here. WINNER: BYU
Thomas: They really don’t miss Bret Bielema up there. The Badgers just keep running the ball and BYU’s defense isn’t anything to write home about. Winner: Badgers
Reed: Both teams rank in the top 15 nationally in rushing offense, so expect this one to be a grind of a game. In the end, I trust Wisconsin’s stout run defense (ranked 5th nationally) to be the difference. Winner: Badgers
Arkansas at Ole Miss (-17)
Andrew: Do you think Bret Bielema is second guessing his decision to leave Wisconsin yet? He’s finding out the hard way the difference between a Big 10 schedule and an SEC schedule. On top of the tough schedule, Hog QB Brandon Allen suffered another injury and is questionable for the game. To be honest, however, whomever play quarterback for Arkansas is of little consequence. Ole Miss is well rested after playing Idaho and having a bye in the last 2 weeks. The Rebels will put this game away before the 4th quarter starts and Arkansas fans can start gearing up for basketball season. WINNER: Ole Miss
Thomas: Ole miss will get to bowl eligibility this week as they are the next team in line to put a whooping on the razorbacks. Winner: Rebel Black Bears
Reed: Arkansas isn’t very good and the Rebels are better than most people think. Ole Miss has played the third toughest schedule in the nation (behind Georgia and Tennessee) and should win at least three of their last four (they host No. 8 Missouri and will have a great shot of knocking them off, too) which would give Hugh Freeze at least an 8-4 record in his second year at the helm in Oxford. Winner: Ole Miss